Reviewed archive · September 16, 2026
Central bank raised Ecuador's 2026 growth forecast to 2.7%
Originally published September 16, 2026 · Reviewed September 25, 2026
On September 15, 2026, Ecuador's central bank raised its forecast for 2026 economic growth to 2.7%, from an April forecast of 2.5%. It projected growth in household consumption, investment and exports, while acknowledging that later data could change the outlook.
The bank's September exercise also examined possible economic effects of El Niño in 2027. Relative to its base case, a moderate event could subtract 0.5 percentage points from growth, and a strong event could subtract 1.4 points.
The bank described those El Niño figures as scenarios, not predictions that a particular event will occur. This is a dated forecast, not investment advice or a current reading of the economy.
This is a dated archive item. Publishing is paused, and later developments may have changed the situation.