Articles
Business intelligence and analysis on Ecuador
Ecuador's Country Risk Remains Below 500 Points Following J.P. Morgan's New EMBI Methodology Implementation
Ecuador has maintained a country risk score below 500 basic points since January 2026, attributed to a new calculation methodology for the EMBI by J.P. Morgan. This change, implemented in early September, has been applied to historical data, reflecting improved investor and lender optimism and enabling better financing conditions for the nation.
Ecuador Records Lowest Annual Inflation in South America at 1.12% in August
Ecuador closed August with an annual inflation rate of 1.12%, positioning the country as having the lowest inflation in South America. This stability is seen by the Ministry of Economic and Productive Development as crucial for reducing uncertainty, facilitating financial planning for households and businesses, and fostering investment conditions.
Ecuador's Remittances Projected to Reach Historic High of $8.020 Million in 2026, Driving Household Consumption
The Central Bank of Ecuador projects remittances to reach a historic high of $8.020 million in 2026, representing an approximate 3.8% annual expansion. This figure is estimated to be about 5.90% of the gross domestic product and is expected to accelerate household consumption.
Central bank raised Ecuador's 2026 growth forecast to 2.7%
The September 2026 central-bank forecast and its separate scenario analysis for El Niño.
Ecuador's Competition Regulator Approves Dunkin' Donuts Asset Acquisition
The Superintendencia de Competencia Económica (SCE) has authorized Restaurantes Unidos Restaunsa S.A. to acquire the productive and operational assets of Donut House S.A., which operates the Dunkin' Donuts brand in Ecuador. The SCE's analysis concluded the transaction poses no significant risks to competition.
Ecuador's Cooperative Sector Shows Stability Amidst El Niño Concerns
Ecuador's largest savings and credit cooperatives have demonstrated improved performance in key indicators through July 2026, including a reduction in the delinquency rate. However, the sector faces potential challenges from the anticipated El Niño phenomenon and associated risks.
Mabe Commits $35 Million to New Guayaquil Washing Plant
Mabe, a major appliance manufacturer, is investing $35 million in a new washing machine manufacturing plant in Guayaquil, Ecuador. Scheduled to begin operations in early 2027, this facility is projected to produce over 90,000 units annually for local and regional markets.
El Niño 2026-2027: Anticipating Economic Impact on Ecuador's Productive Sector
Ecuador's productive sector faces potential significant economic impact from the strengthening El Niño phenomenon, with historical data from 1997-1998 showing 52.8% of national losses absorbed by businesses. Current forecasts indicate a high probability of a historic intensity event by late 2026, emphasizing the need for operational resilience.
Ecuador’s Banking Watchlist Identifies 74 Unauthorized Operators in 2026
September 9 reporting highlights 74 entries in the banking regulator’s 2026 unauthorized-entity registry. A check of the official list confirms the count.
Ecuador's Sixth IMF Review Sets a Conditional $390 Million Financing Test
Ecuador's sixth IMF review is expected around September 15, 2026. A compliant review could release about $390 million, with $1.270 billion still pending under the $5 billion program, but the payment is not yet approved.
Ecuador’s Credit-Information Reform Opens a New Data Layer for Utility Payments
A resolution effective August 20 allows utility-payment behavior to be considered supplementary credit information, but does not automatically transfer every household record to the bureau. The implementation window runs up to 18 months for the Superintendencia and one year for SEPS.
Ecuador's monthly activity indicator rose 2% in first-half 2026
The central bank's first-half 2026 IMAEc reading, June sector changes and why the measure is not the quarterly GDP release.